Prompt for Anthropic: “Annotate all the logical fallacies in https://fly.io/blog/youre-all-nuts/“
Logical Fallacies in “My AI Skeptic Friends Are All Nuts”
Ad Hominem Attacks
- “You’re All Nuts” (title) – Directly attacking the character/mental state of opponents rather than their arguments
- “their arguments are unserious” – Dismissing critics’ intelligence rather than addressing substance
- “Are you a vibe coding Youtuber? Can you not read code?” – Personal attack on coding ability
- “what the fuck is wrong with you?” – Direct personal attack
- “skills issue!” – Attacking competence rather than the argument
Straw Man Fallacies
- “If you’re making requests on a ChatGPT page and then pasting the resulting (broken) code” – Misrepresenting how skeptics actually use LLMs
- “Steve Jobs was wrong: we do not need to carve the unseen feet in the sculpture” – Oversimplifying the “craft” argument to something about perfectionism rather than understanding/maintainability
- “Maximum effort on a random unit test?” – Reducing quality concerns to absurd extremes
False Dichotomy/Binary Thinking
- “Things either work or they don’t” – Oversimplifying complex technology adoption into binary terms
- “I buy a fucking table” vs. building one – Presenting only two extreme options (artisan perfectionism vs. pure pragmatism)
- LLM adoption presented as inevitable binary choice – Either embrace fully or be left behind
Appeal to Consequences
- “Extraordinarily talented people are doing work that LLMs already do better, out of spite” – Arguing people should adopt LLMs to avoid negative consequences rather than on merits
- “The folks on my team who aren’t embracing AI? It’s like they’re standing still” – Fear-based argument about being left behind
Appeal to Authority/Bandwagon
- “Some of the smartest people I know” – Using intelligence of friends as credential rather than addressing their specific arguments
- “However you define ‘serious developer’, I qualify” – Establishing credentials to claim authority
- “Kids today don’t just use agents” – Appeal to what young developers are doing
- Citing friend’s success story without providing verifiable data
Hasty Generalization
- “Most code on most projects is tedious” – Broad generalization without supporting evidence
- “LLMs kick ass generating [Go code]” – Generalizing from one language experience to all programming
- “We all write mediocre code” – Universal claim without evidence
Tu Quoque (You Too/Hypocrisy)
- “No profession has demonstrated more contempt for intellectual property” – Deflecting plagiarism concerns by pointing to developers’ past behavior with media piracy
- “Then shut the fuck up about IPR. Reap the whirlwind” – Using alleged hypocrisy to dismiss legitimate concerns
Red Herring
- Long tangent about woodworking and buying tables – Diverting from code quality/understanding concerns to craftsmanship metaphor
- Discussion of travel agents, record stores, darkroom techs – Diverting from specific developer job displacement to general technological unemployment
Begging the Question/Circular Reasoning
- “LLMs already do better” – Assumes conclusion (LLMs are better) as premise for why people should use them
- “But something real is happening” – Using vague assertion as evidence for the importance he’s trying to prove
False Cause/Post Hoc
- “I can feel my blood pressure rising thinking of all the bookkeeping” → “An LLM can be instructed to just figure all that shit out” – Assuming LLMs solve the specific emotional/motivational problems described
Appeal to Emotion
- “I can feel my blood pressure rising” – Using visceral emotional language rather than logical argument
- “That dopamine hit is why I code” – Emotional appeal about coding satisfaction
- Aggressive tone throughout (“what the fuck”, “shove this concern up your ass”) – Using emotional intensity rather than reasoned argument
Equivocation
- “Probabilistic” vs “stochastic” – Playing word games rather than addressing the underlying concern about unpredictability
- “It’s code. It’s not Yacc output” – Conflating different meanings of “code” to dismiss concerns
Survivorship Bias
- Focusing only on success stories and dismissing failures as user error (“skills issue”)
- “Five get merged” – Only highlighting successes without discussing failure rates or costs
Special Pleading
- “I’m discussing only the implications of LLMs for software development. For art, music, and writing? I got nothing” – Exempting his own field from broader criticisms while dismissing concerns in that field
Moving the Goalposts
- Starting with “LLMs can write code” and shifting to “agents can do more than just write code” when challenged
- “Even the most Claude-poisoned serious developers… still own curation, judgement, guidance” – Retreating from stronger claims about LLM capabilities
Anecdotal Evidence
- “‘I’m sipping rocket fuel right now,’ a friend tells me” – Using single anecdote as representative evidence
- Personal experience with incident response – Using one example to make broad claims
No True Scotsman
- “If you were trying and failing to use an LLM for code 6 months ago, you’re not doing what most serious LLM-assisted coders are doing” – Redefining who counts as a “serious” user to exclude counterexamples
Analysis Summary
The author makes several valid points about LLM capabilities and productivity gains, but undermines their argument through extensive use of logical fallacies. The piece reads more like a persuasive rant than a reasoned argument, relying heavily on:
- Personal attacks rather than substantive counterarguments
- Emotional manipulation rather than evidence
- Misrepresenting opponents’ positions rather than steel-manning them
- Anecdotal evidence rather than systematic data
A stronger argument would address skeptics’ concerns directly with evidence while acknowledging legitimate limitations and trade-offs.